Caixin OnlineOpinionMagazine Columnist谢国忠 Andy Xie
Trapped Inside A Property Bubble
Trapped Inside A Property Bubble
When China's real estate bubble finally bursts while exports become less competitive, the consequences could be severe.
The next 10 years will be more challenging than the past decade. Indeed, unless economic policies are adjusted, China's inflated real estate market could suddenly shrivel while the decade is still young.
China's market share gains in global trade and foreign direct investment due to low costs and rising global demand drove the nation's success. But China is no longer the lowest of the low-cost producers, and it's unlikely to gain market share. Moreover, global demand isn't likely to rise as fast as before; expect economic development at one-third previous speeds.
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