Hemmed in by a Lack of Clarity
In a long term view, the rise of China is to be welcomed, but today China
remains what the journalist Martin Wolf calls a "premature superpower." China's
current reputation for power benefits from projections about the future. In one
poll, 44 percent of respondents mistakenly thought that China already had the
world's largest economy, compared to 27 percent who accurately picked the United
States (which is three times larger). Martin Jacques even entitled his
recent book When China Rules the World: The End of the Western World and the
Birth of a New Global Order. Some people draw analogies to the rise of Germany a
century ago, and predict a coming conflict with the U.S. like that between
Germany and Britain. Fortunately, these fears are exaggerated.
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